YEARLY HIGH
36.9569 BDT
YEARLY LOW
28.2123 BDT
YEARLY AVERAGE
33.3225 BDT

2016 GEL to BDT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to BDT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 11, valuing the pair at 36.9569. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 28.2123.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 8.7447 BDT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 32.2182 to the December average rate of 29.9182, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.14% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 36.9569 was down 16.71% compared to the 2015 peak of 44.3737, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 184,785 BDT
2015 Average 178,858 BDT
Yearly Trough Low 141,061 BDT
Transaction Impact: A difference of 43,723.37 BDT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

36.6119
29.3097
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to BDT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 33.9085, compared to 32.7365 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.1721 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 33.9085
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 32.7365

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 3.7189 BDT (High: 36.9569 / Low: 33.2380). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.5838 BDT (High: 32.0130 / Low: 31.4292).

June Spread (Volatile) ±3.7189
February Spread (Stable) ±0.5838

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 2.3401 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.3401

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 35.8386) against the same month in 2015 (average: 34.4399), the exchange rate shifted by +1.3987 (+4.06%).

2016 Avg (June) 35.8386
2015 Avg (June) 34.4399

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 32.7668 31.5225 32.2182
February 32.0130 31.4292 31.6432
March 34.2630 31.6928 33.0070
April 35.2197 34.0722 34.7410
May 36.7352 35.1847 36.0034
June 36.9569 33.2380 35.8386
July 33.8525 33.2265 33.4985
August 34.5091 33.3032 33.8355
September 34.2649 33.5816 33.9536
October 33.6723 32.7961 33.2981
November 32.7634 31.1072 31.9150
December 31.1665 28.2123 29.9182