YEARLY HIGH
31.9146 BDT
YEARLY LOW
28.2217 BDT
YEARLY AVERAGE
30.0264 BDT

2019 GEL to BDT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the GEL to BDT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 18, valuing the pair at 31.9146. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 1, dropping to 28.2217.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.6929 BDT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 31.4780 to the December average rate of 29.3586, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.73% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 31.9146 was down 8.49% compared to the 2018 peak of 34.8744, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 159,573 BDT
2018 Average 168,859 BDT
Yearly Trough Low 141,109 BDT
Transaction Impact: A difference of 18,464.29 BDT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

31.9716
28.2287
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to BDT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 31.1579, compared to 28.8948 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.2631 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 31.1579
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 28.8948

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was July, with a trading range of 1.7862 BDT (High: 30.2311 / Low: 28.4449). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3478 BDT (High: 28.7117 / Low: 28.3639).

July Spread (Volatile) ±1.7862
November Spread (Stable) ±0.3478

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 1.0053 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.0053

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2019: 31.6597) against the same month in 2018 (average: 33.8286), the exchange rate shifted by -2.1689 (-6.41%).

2019 Avg (February) 31.6597
2018 Avg (February) 33.8286

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 31.6319 31.1499 31.4780
February 31.9146 31.2894 31.6597
March 31.5284 31.1456 31.3335
April 31.4562 30.9927 31.2920
May 31.2075 30.1176 30.6860
June 31.0648 29.5465 30.4984
July 30.2311 28.4449 29.4931
August 29.0793 28.3652 28.8360
September 28.7376 28.2887 28.5406
October 28.7664 28.2217 28.5697
November 28.7117 28.3639 28.5709
December 29.7472 28.5757 29.3586