2012 GEL to BHD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.2324 BHD

YEARLY LOW

0.2172 BHD

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.2257 BHD

2012 GEL to BHD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the GEL to BHD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 14, valuing the pair at 0.2324. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 9, dropping to 0.2172.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0153 BHD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2255 to the December average rate of 0.2272, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.72% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 0.2324 was up 1.14% compared to the 2011 peak of 0.2298, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,162 BHD

2011 Average 1,118 BHD

Yearly Trough Low 1,086 BHD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 76.38 BHD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

0.2330

0.2168

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to BHD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2289, compared to 0.2225 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0063 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2289

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2225

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was October, with a trading range of 0.0102 BHD (High: 0.2277 / Low: 0.2175). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0010 BHD (High: 0.2261 / Low: 0.2251).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.0102

January Spread (Stable) ±0.0010

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0108 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0108

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2012: 0.2317) against the same month in 2011 (average: 0.2246), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0071 (+3.15%).

2012 Avg (May) 0.2317

2011 Avg (May) 0.2246

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.2261	0.2251	0.2255
February	0.2318	0.2255	0.2271
March	0.2298	0.2258	0.2282
April	0.2314	0.2284	0.2303
May	0.2324	0.2306	0.2317
June	0.2317	0.2291	0.2305
July	0.2258	0.2178	0.2197
August	0.2188	0.2176	0.2184
September	0.2186	0.2172	0.2181
October	0.2277	0.2175	0.2250
November	0.2276	0.2258	0.2269
December	0.2280	0.2260	0.2272