2016 GEL to BHD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1775 BHD

YEARLY LOW

0.1346 BHD

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1600 BHD

2016 GEL to BHD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to BHD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 7, valuing the pair at 0.1775. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 0.1346.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0429 BHD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1547 to the December average rate of 0.1421, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.13% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.1775 was down 17.02% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.2140, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 888 BHD

2015 Average 866 BHD

Yearly Trough Low 673 BHD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 214.63 BHD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.1759

0.1391

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to BHD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1629, compared to 0.1570 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0059 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1629

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1570

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.0176 BHD (High: 0.1775 / Low: 0.1600). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0020 BHD (High: 0.1529 / Low: 0.1509).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0176

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0020

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0109 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0109

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 0.1721) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.1670), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0051 (+3.05%).

2016 Avg (June) 0.1721

2015 Avg (June) 0.1670

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1573	0.1515	0.1547
February	0.1529	0.1509	0.1519
March	0.1648	0.1526	0.1589
April	0.1694	0.1639	0.1671
May	0.1762	0.1693	0.1729
June	0.1775	0.1600	0.1721
July	0.1631	0.1604	0.1612
August	0.1660	0.1602	0.1627
September	0.1648	0.1614	0.1632
October	0.1618	0.1580	0.1601
November	0.1576	0.1481	0.1526
December	0.1476	0.1346	0.1421