2016 GEL to BTN Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

31.5197 BTN

YEARLY LOW

24.2611 BTN

YEARLY AVERAGE

28.4961 BTN

2016 GEL to BTN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to BTN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 24, valuing the pair at 31.5197. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 24.2611.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 7.2585 BTN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 27.6101 to the December average rate of 25.5994, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.28% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 31.5197 was down 12.44% compared to the 2015 peak of 35.9976, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 157,598 BTN

2015 Average 146,941 BTN

Yearly Trough Low 121,306 BTN

Transaction Impact: A difference of 36,292.74 BTN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

31.2185

25.0886

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to BTN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 29.0276, compared to 27.9646 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.0630 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 29.0276

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 27.9646

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 2.7869 BTN (High: 31.5165 / Low: 28.7295). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.5873 BTN (High: 28.5932 / Low: 28.0059).

June Spread (Volatile) ±2.7869

October Spread (Stable) ±0.5873

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 1.9951 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.9951

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 30.6875) against the same month in 2015 (average: 27.4654), the exchange rate shifted by +3.2221 (+11.73%).

2016 Avg (May) 30.6875

2015 Avg (May) 27.4654

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	27.9146	27.2175	27.6101
February	27.8418	27.1987	27.4898
March	29.0917	27.1935	28.2068
April	29.8823	28.8028	29.4641
May	31.5197	29.8102	30.6875
June	31.5165	28.7295	30.7076
July	29.1281	28.4416	28.7126
August	29.5042	28.4045	28.8840
September	29.2499	28.4576	28.9127
October	28.5932	28.0059	28.3354
November	27.9204	26.8817	27.3436
December	26.7254	24.2611	25.5994