YEARLY HIGH
30.3905 BTN
YEARLY LOW
24.5149 BTN
YEARLY AVERAGE
27.5249 BTN

2018 GEL to BTN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the GEL to BTN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 9, valuing the pair at 30.3905. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 24.5149.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.8756 BTN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 24.8799 to the December average rate of 26.5348, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.65% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 30.3905 was up 11.75% compared to the 2017 peak of 27.1950, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 151,952 BTN
2017 Average 130,341 BTN
Yearly Trough Low 122,574 BTN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 29,378.09 BTN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

30.5814
24.3615
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to BTN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 26.6129, compared to 28.4370 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.8242 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 26.6129
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 28.4370

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 3.8564 BTN (High: 30.0124 / Low: 26.1560). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2936 BTN (High: 28.2259 / Low: 27.9323).

November Spread (Volatile) ±3.8564
July Spread (Stable) ±0.2936

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 9 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 1.9139 points.

Longest Streak 9 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.9139

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 30.0630) against the same month in 2017 (average: 26.1645), the exchange rate shifted by +3.8985 (+14.90%).

2018 Avg (October) 30.0630
2017 Avg (October) 26.1645

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 25.7663 24.5149 24.8799
February 26.4193 25.7306 26.1738
March 26.7442 26.4248 26.5772
April 27.2006 26.6981 26.9332
May 27.9489 27.1192 27.5030
June 28.0244 27.2336 27.6102
July 28.2259 27.9323 28.0578
August 28.6294 27.8346 28.1829
September 29.6949 28.6136 29.3350
October 30.3905 29.7751 30.0630
November 30.0124 26.1560 28.4487
December 27.1681 26.0464 26.5348