YEARLY HIGH
51.6551 DZD
YEARLY LOW
39.7338 DZD
YEARLY AVERAGE
46.4096 DZD

2016 GEL to DZD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to DZD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 7, valuing the pair at 51.6551. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 39.7338.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 11.9213 DZD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 44.0825 to the December average rate of 41.7890, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.20% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 51.6551 was down 6.38% compared to the 2015 peak of 55.1755, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 258,276 DZD
2015 Average 229,196 DZD
Yearly Trough Low 198,669 DZD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 59,606.66 DZD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

51.1841
40.9349
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to DZD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 46.9918, compared to 45.8274 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.1645 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 46.9918
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 45.8274

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 4.7827 DZD (High: 51.6551 / Low: 46.8724). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.8670 DZD (High: 47.6284 / Low: 46.7614).

June Spread (Volatile) ±4.7827
July Spread (Stable) ±0.8670

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 3.0721 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -3.0721

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 50.2621) against the same month in 2015 (average: 43.6275), the exchange rate shifted by +6.6346 (+15.21%).

2016 Avg (June) 50.2621
2015 Avg (June) 43.6275

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 44.6940 43.1500 44.0825
February 44.0813 42.3501 42.9319
March 48.0990 43.9336 46.1581
April 49.0688 47.0386 48.1862
May 51.6159 48.9529 50.3300
June 51.6551 46.8724 50.2621
July 47.6284 46.7614 47.1900
August 47.9236 46.6355 47.2009
September 47.8424 46.8498 47.2881
October 47.1313 46.0967 46.7451
November 45.9616 43.5022 44.7511
December 43.3220 39.7338 41.7890