YEARLY HIGH
48.7160 DZD
YEARLY LOW
44.0970 DZD
YEARLY AVERAGE
46.9409 DZD

2018 GEL to DZD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the GEL to DZD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 26, valuing the pair at 48.7160. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 44.0970.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.6190 DZD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 44.6483 to the December average rate of 44.5313, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.26% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 48.7160 was up 5.00% compared to the 2017 peak of 46.3941, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 243,580 DZD
2017 Average 222,185 DZD
Yearly Trough Low 220,485 DZD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 23,095.07 DZD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

48.8684
44.1371
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to DZD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 46.5495, compared to 47.3323 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.7827 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 46.5495
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 47.3323

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 4.1496 DZD (High: 48.6161 / Low: 44.4665). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2727 DZD (High: 48.1784 / Low: 47.9057).

November Spread (Volatile) ±4.1496
July Spread (Stable) ±0.2727

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 2.3734 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.3734

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 48.4741) against the same month in 2017 (average: 45.8587), the exchange rate shifted by +2.6154 (+5.70%).

2018 Avg (October) 48.4741
2017 Avg (October) 45.8587

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 46.0219 44.2138 44.6483
February 46.7366 45.7444 46.2999
March 46.8410 46.2601 46.5828
April 47.1632 46.3646 46.8641
May 47.6885 46.8510 47.2509
June 48.0444 47.2225 47.6512
July 48.1784 47.9057 48.0654
August 48.6720 47.4444 47.9777
September 48.3386 47.5157 48.0404
October 48.7160 48.0924 48.4741
November 48.6161 44.4665 46.9047
December 44.8136 44.0970 44.5313