YEARLY HIGH
7.2614 EGP
YEARLY LOW
3.1352 EGP
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.2042 EGP

2016 GEL to EGP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to EGP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 8, valuing the pair at 7.2614. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 16, dropping to 3.1352.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.1262 EGP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.2144 to the December average rate of 6.9384, the exchange rate registered a net change of 115.85% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 7.2614 was up 67.95% compared to the 2015 peak of 4.3235, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 36,307 EGP
2015 Average 17,668 EGP
Yearly Trough Low 15,676 EGP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 20,631.10 EGP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

7.3167
2.7763
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to EGP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.6624, compared to 4.7460 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.0836 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.6624
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.7460

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 3.5859 EGP (High: 7.2614 / Low: 3.6755). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0485 EGP (High: 3.1837 / Low: 3.1352).

November Spread (Volatile) ±3.5859
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0485

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.2577 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2577

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2016: 6.3011) against the same month in 2015 (average: 3.2945), the exchange rate shifted by +3.0066 (+91.26%).

2016 Avg (November) 6.3011
2015 Avg (November) 3.2945

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.2669 3.1425 3.2144
February 3.1837 3.1352 3.1547
March 3.8813 3.1655 3.5479
April 3.9890 3.8601 3.9352
May 4.1451 3.9875 4.0710
June 4.1817 3.7636 4.0511
July 3.8381 3.7768 3.7934
August 3.9126 3.7703 3.8307
September 3.8814 3.7990 3.8427
October 3.8091 3.7197 3.7696
November 7.2614 3.6755 6.3011
December 7.1708 6.7819 6.9384