YEARLY HIGH
5.6449 EGP
YEARLY LOW
4.5504 EGP
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.0939 EGP

2020 GEL to EGP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the GEL to EGP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 16, valuing the pair at 5.6449. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 25, dropping to 4.5504.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0945 EGP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.5247 to the December average rate of 4.7630, the exchange rate registered a net change of -13.79% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 5.6449 was down 16.39% compared to the 2019 peak of 6.7512, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 28,225 EGP
2019 Average 29,945 EGP
Yearly Trough Low 22,752 EGP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,472.53 EGP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

5.6054
4.6371
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to EGP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.2403, compared to 4.9475 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2928 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.2403
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.9475

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 1.0945 EGP (High: 5.6449 / Low: 4.5504). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0815 EGP (High: 5.1947 / Low: 5.1132).

March Spread (Volatile) ±1.0945
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0815

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2020. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.2833 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2833

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2020: 5.2331) against the same month in 2019 (average: 6.4790), the exchange rate shifted by -1.2459 (-19.23%).

2020 Avg (March) 5.2331
2019 Avg (March) 6.4790

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.6274 5.4567 5.5247
February 5.6063 5.4579 5.5164
March 5.6449 4.5504 5.2331
April 5.0218 4.7938 4.9541
May 4.9788 4.8334 4.9205
June 5.5017 5.0269 5.2929
July 5.2784 5.1600 5.2095
August 5.1947 5.1132 5.1555
September 5.1442 4.7036 4.9680
October 4.9063 4.8094 4.8711
November 4.8488 4.5872 4.7178
December 4.8070 4.7099 4.7630