2016 GEL to GMD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

20.1400 GMD

YEARLY LOW

15.2693 GMD

YEARLY AVERAGE

17.8236 GMD

2016 GEL to GMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to GMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 8, valuing the pair at 20.1400. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 15.2693.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.8707 GMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 16.2159 to the December average rate of 16.1485, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.42% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 20.1400 was down 18.78% compared to the 2015 peak of 24.7982, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 100,700 GMD

2015 Average 94,937 GMD

Yearly Trough Low 76,346 GMD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 24,353.58 GMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

19.9757

15.5274

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to GMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 17.8727, compared to 17.7746 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0981 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 17.8727

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 17.7746

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 2.5871 GMD (High: 18.4798 / Low: 15.8928). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2622 GMD (High: 16.0461 / Low: 15.7839).

March Spread (Volatile) ±2.5871

February Spread (Stable) ±0.2622

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 1.2453 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.2453

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 19.4829) against the same month in 2015 (average: 18.8622), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6207 (+3.29%).

2016 Avg (June) 19.4829

2015 Avg (June) 18.8622

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	16.4766	15.8130	16.2159
February	16.0461	15.7839	15.8981
March	18.4798	15.8928	17.1246
April	19.1717	18.5402	18.9097
May	19.9516	19.1342	19.6050
June	20.1400	18.1555	19.4829
July	18.4309	18.0921	18.2376
August	18.7174	18.0807	18.4091
September	18.6193	18.2088	18.4493
October	18.3085	17.8862	18.1212
November	17.8898	16.8922	17.2818
December	16.9338	15.2693	16.1485