YEARLY HIGH
7.9365 HNL
YEARLY LOW
6.9457 HNL
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.5021 HNL

2021 GEL to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the GEL to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 26, valuing the pair at 7.9365. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 24, dropping to 6.9457.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9908 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.3405 to the December average rate of 7.8411, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.82% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 7.9365 was down 11.39% compared to the 2020 peak of 8.9568, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 39,682 HNL
2020 Average 39,841 HNL
Yearly Trough Low 34,729 HNL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,953.91 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

7.9239
6.9299
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.2825, compared to 7.7217 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.4392 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.2825
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.7217

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was May, with a trading range of 0.4219 HNL (High: 7.3945 / Low: 6.9726). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1205 HNL (High: 7.0662 / Low: 6.9457).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.4219
April Spread (Stable) ±0.1205

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.2440 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2440

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2021: 7.8411) against the same month in 2020 (average: 7.3596), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4815 (+6.54%).

2021 Avg (December) 7.8411
2020 Avg (December) 7.3596

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.5175 7.2834 7.3405
February 7.3839 7.2225 7.3147
March 7.3233 7.0801 7.2567
April 7.0662 6.9457 7.0127
May 7.3945 6.9726 7.1443
June 7.7617 7.3895 7.6262
July 7.7715 7.5431 7.6490
August 7.7637 7.6258 7.6711
September 7.8019 7.6811 7.7546
October 7.7749 7.6484 7.7108
November 7.8095 7.6344 7.7037
December 7.9365 7.7259 7.8411