YEARLY HIGH
131.8634 HUF
YEARLY LOW
106.3818 HUF
YEARLY AVERAGE
119.2959 HUF

2016 GEL to HUF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to HUF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 24, valuing the pair at 131.8634. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 106.3818.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 25.4815 HUF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 118.7613 to the December average rate of 111.6703, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.97% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 131.8634 was down 20.13% compared to the 2015 peak of 165.0909, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 659,317 HUF
2015 Average 640,585 HUF
Yearly Trough Low 531,909 HUF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 127,407.55 HUF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

129.3049
110.0672
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to HUF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 120.9852, compared to 117.6067 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 3.3785 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 120.9852
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 117.6067

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was May, with a trading range of 10.4477 HUF (High: 131.8634 / Low: 121.4156). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.6133 HUF (High: 120.8119 / Low: 118.1986).

May Spread (Volatile) ±10.4477
August Spread (Stable) ±2.6133

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 6.2423 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -6.2423

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 127.7017) against the same month in 2015 (average: 118.3344), the exchange rate shifted by +9.3673 (+7.92%).

2016 Avg (May) 127.7017
2015 Avg (May) 118.3344

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 120.9644 115.7255 118.7613
February 115.6294 110.3384 112.5190
March 121.3722 113.6551 117.7091
April 124.0382 119.6922 121.8327
May 131.8634 121.4156 127.7017
June 131.3912 120.9765 127.3873
July 122.9657 118.4118 121.3606
August 120.8119 118.1986 119.4284
September 121.4223 117.3773 119.2062
October 120.2925 116.4197 118.1704
November 118.2606 112.9173 115.8044
December 115.7195 106.3818 111.6703