YEARLY HIGH
117.3932 HUF
YEARLY LOW
97.9681 HUF
YEARLY AVERAGE
108.7899 HUF

2018 GEL to HUF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the GEL to HUF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 12, valuing the pair at 117.3932. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 16, dropping to 97.9681.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 19.4251 HUF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 99.0648 to the December average rate of 106.5260, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.53% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 117.3932 was down 5.20% compared to the 2017 peak of 123.8331, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 586,966 HUF
2017 Average 549,234 HUF
Yearly Trough Low 489,840 HUF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 97,125.63 HUF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

116.8088
97.4517
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to HUF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 105.2132, compared to 112.3666 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 7.1534 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 105.2132
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 112.3666

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 11.6084 HUF (High: 117.3932 / Low: 105.7848). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.7137 HUF (High: 104.2808 / Low: 102.5671).

November Spread (Volatile) ±11.6084
March Spread (Stable) ±1.7137

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 9 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 5.6621 points.

Longest Streak 9 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -5.6621

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2018: 112.1881) against the same month in 2017 (average: 102.9783), the exchange rate shifted by +9.2098 (+8.94%).

2018 Avg (November) 112.1881
2017 Avg (November) 102.9783

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 100.9124 97.9681 99.0648
February 104.3833 99.6824 102.6546
March 104.2808 102.5671 103.4919
April 105.8834 102.8127 104.1884
May 112.3412 106.5561 109.2342
June 115.8179 110.3015 112.6454
July 115.8632 112.0129 113.3909
August 116.3225 111.8112 113.4015
September 115.0785 112.2619 113.4972
October 117.2710 113.1236 115.1957
November 117.3932 105.7848 112.1881
December 107.9320 104.4590 106.5260