YEARLY HIGH
6386.0216 IDR
YEARLY LOW
4803.7556 IDR
YEARLY AVERAGE
5643.6565 IDR

2016 GEL to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 1, valuing the pair at 6386.0216. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 4803.7556.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1582.2660 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5693.7930 to the December average rate of 5059.0960, the exchange rate registered a net change of -11.15% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 6386.0216 was down 14.82% compared to the 2015 peak of 7497.1868, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 31,930,108 IDR
2015 Average 30,649,728 IDR
Yearly Trough Low 24,018,778 IDR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,911,329.84 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

6268.0898
4949.1875
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5796.8198, compared to 5490.4933 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 306.3264 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5796.8198
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5490.4933

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 796.3698 IDR (High: 6386.0216 / Low: 5589.6517). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 107.8740 IDR (High: 5674.1899 / Low: 5566.3159).

June Spread (Volatile) ±796.3698
July Spread (Stable) ±107.8740

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 493.5761 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -493.5761

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 6097.4414) against the same month in 2015 (average: 5896.2662), the exchange rate shifted by +201.1752 (+3.41%).

2016 Avg (June) 6097.4414
2015 Avg (June) 5896.2662

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5785.0215 5562.8734 5693.7930
February 5539.6942 5376.6930 5445.1316
March 5746.0199 5302.8629 5548.1291
April 5924.8930 5715.6960 5838.2421
May 6376.8895 5896.3419 6158.1813
June 6386.0216 5589.6517 6097.4414
July 5674.1899 5566.3159 5603.8652
August 5794.0492 5568.8243 5678.3749
September 5795.1794 5545.3720 5682.2258
October 5582.1714 5458.5666 5530.8483
November 5448.7983 5325.1830 5388.5498
December 5294.7098 4803.7556 5059.0960