2016 GEL to IRR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

14276.5990 IRR

YEARLY LOW

10741.7090 IRR

YEARLY AVERAGE

12791.9312 IRR

2016 GEL to IRR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to IRR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 7, valuing the pair at 14276.5990. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 10741.7090.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3534.8900 IRR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 12315.9150 to the December average rate of 11343.6882, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.89% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 14276.5990 was down 9.64% compared to the 2015 peak of 15800.2454, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 71,382,995 IRR

2015 Average 66,266,698 IRR

Yearly Trough Low 53,708,545 IRR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 17,674,449.85 IRR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

14136.4548

11089.8003

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to IRR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 13056.1696, compared to 12527.6929 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 528.4767 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 13056.1696

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 12527.6929

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 1383.7145 IRR (High: 14276.5990 / Low: 12892.8844). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 195.1519 IRR (High: 12255.8000 / Low: 12060.6481).

June Spread (Volatile) ±1383.7145

February Spread (Stable) ±195.1519

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 966.6171 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -966.6171

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 13844.7038) against the same month in 2015 (average: 12870.0514), the exchange rate shifted by +974.6524 (+7.57%).

2016 Avg (June) 13844.7038

2015 Avg (June) 12870.0514

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	12503.2569	12054.7698	12315.9150
February	12255.8000	12060.6481	12154.1708
March	13225.4257	12230.7241	12736.4229
April	13587.6217	13140.3665	13403.2379
May	14163.6136	13586.7149	13882.5670
June	14276.5990	12892.8844	13844.7038
July	13143.9623	12786.6936	12878.0867
August	13238.0915	12778.5190	12977.3526
September	13150.9927	12871.6792	13023.4075
October	12904.4165	12603.0878	12771.6549
November	12569.8940	11822.6941	12171.9675
December	11778.0679	10741.7090	11343.6882