YEARLY HIGH
17924.2067 IRR
YEARLY LOW
13747.5116 IRR
YEARLY AVERAGE
16378.6695 IRR

2018 GEL to IRR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the GEL to IRR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 5, valuing the pair at 17924.2067. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 1, dropping to 13747.5116.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4176.6951 IRR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 14095.4413 to the December average rate of 15870.9879, the exchange rate registered a net change of 12.60% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 17924.2067 was up 27.81% compared to the 2017 peak of 14023.7403, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 89,621,033 IRR
2017 Average 66,219,817 IRR
Yearly Trough Low 68,737,558 IRR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 20,883,475.33 IRR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

18041.3202
13736.7251
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to IRR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 15612.0253, compared to 17145.3136 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1533.2883 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 15612.0253
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 17145.3136

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 2045.1265 IRR (High: 17273.0376 / Low: 15227.9111). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 249.6037 IRR (High: 15157.2295 / Low: 14907.6259).

May Spread (Volatile) ±2045.1265
February Spread (Stable) ±249.6037

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 948.1185 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -948.1185

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2018: 17556.7952) against the same month in 2017 (average: 13702.5291), the exchange rate shifted by +3854.2661 (+28.13%).

2018 Avg (August) 17556.7952
2017 Avg (August) 13702.5291

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 14919.5559 13747.5116 14095.4413
February 15157.2295 14907.6259 15069.5612
March 15447.4739 15137.6252 15325.5224
April 15558.5381 15183.1426 15386.1789
May 17273.0376 15227.9111 16536.7922
June 17393.1085 17099.0920 17258.6557
July 17909.4431 17404.8859 17682.6040
August 17924.2067 17385.4969 17556.7952
September 17650.0770 17359.0066 17573.0885
October 17639.5090 17290.0975 17369.2998
November 17371.9666 15938.2814 16819.1064
December 16041.4527 15710.8209 15870.9879