2016 GEL to KMF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

206.2575 KMF

YEARLY LOW

168.8221 KMF

YEARLY AVERAGE

188.0270 KMF

2016 GEL to KMF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to KMF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 29, valuing the pair at 206.2575. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 168.8221.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 37.4354 KMF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 185.4005 to the December average rate of 176.1023, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.02% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 206.2575 was down 22.38% compared to the 2015 peak of 265.7422, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,031,287 KMF

2015 Average 1,017,609 KMF

Yearly Trough Low 844,110 KMF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 187,176.89 KMF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

201.0996

173.8298

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to KMF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 189.9268, compared to 186.1272 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 3.7997 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 189.9268

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 186.1272

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 18.5899 KMF (High: 203.8685 / Low: 185.2786). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 5.3008 KMF (High: 193.2808 / Low: 187.9800).

June Spread (Volatile) ±18.5899

September Spread (Stable) ±5.3008

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 10.9470 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -10.9470

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 198.8271) against the same month in 2015 (average: 190.2762), the exchange rate shifted by +8.5509 (+4.49%).

2016 Avg (May) 198.8271

2015 Avg (May) 190.2762

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	189.2425	182.1534	185.4005
February	183.1700	174.7012	178.6078
March	192.1722	180.0522	186.4023
April	196.1559	187.8852	192.4010
May	206.2575	193.2103	198.8271
June	203.8685	185.2786	197.9221
July	190.7819	183.8092	186.9752
August	195.1842	187.0104	191.4734
September	193.2808	187.9800	190.2752
October	190.9814	185.2853	188.2076
November	187.2686	181.4015	183.7294
December	181.4589	168.8221	176.1023