YEARLY HIGH
158.4547 KZT
YEARLY LOW
118.4865 KZT
YEARLY AVERAGE
145.0155 KZT

2016 GEL to KZT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to KZT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 14, valuing the pair at 158.4547. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 118.4865.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 39.9682 KZT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 148.7142 to the December average rate of 126.1217, the exchange rate registered a net change of -15.19% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 158.4547 was up 10.32% compared to the 2015 peak of 143.6272, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 792,273 KZT
2015 Average 502,621 KZT
Yearly Trough Low 592,432 KZT
Transaction Impact: A difference of 199,840.98 KZT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

156.4732
123.3624
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to KZT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 149.0181, compared to 141.0130 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 8.0051 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 149.0181
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 141.0130

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 15.4009 KZT (High: 157.0466 / Low: 141.6456). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 4.2508 KZT (High: 150.9096 / Low: 146.6588).

January Spread (Volatile) ±15.4009
August Spread (Stable) ±4.2508

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 11.4527 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -11.4527

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 153.7140) against the same month in 2015 (average: 82.3980), the exchange rate shifted by +71.3160 (+86.55%).

2016 Avg (June) 153.7140
2015 Avg (June) 82.3980

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 157.0466 141.6456 148.7142
February 150.1330 140.9221 144.3538
March 151.3078 139.6990 145.5140
April 151.5195 147.1350 149.3904
May 157.2603 146.8599 152.4222
June 158.4547 143.6282 153.7140
July 150.7160 143.8896 146.0255
August 150.9096 146.6588 148.4529
September 150.4122 143.7083 146.7662
October 143.7395 138.8859 141.1372
November 140.6279 133.5131 137.5744
December 132.3795 118.4865 126.1217