YEARLY HIGH
154.2129 KZT
YEARLY LOW
126.1764 KZT
YEARLY AVERAGE
138.8297 KZT

2018 GEL to KZT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the GEL to KZT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 12, valuing the pair at 154.2129. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 24, dropping to 126.1764.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 28.0365 KZT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 127.8088 to the December average rate of 139.7478, the exchange rate registered a net change of 9.34% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 154.2129 was up 9.44% compared to the 2017 peak of 140.9149, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 771,064 KZT
2017 Average 653,521 KZT
Yearly Trough Low 630,882 KZT
Transaction Impact: A difference of 140,182.53 KZT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

152.4443
125.5692
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to KZT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 132.3809, compared to 145.2785 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 12.8976 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 132.3809
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 145.2785

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 15.3545 KZT (High: 153.3017 / Low: 137.9473). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.9193 KZT (High: 131.7548 / Low: 129.8355).

November Spread (Volatile) ±15.3545
March Spread (Stable) ±1.9193

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 9 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 6.9702 points.

Longest Streak 9 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -6.9702

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 149.4056) against the same month in 2017 (average: 137.8559), the exchange rate shifted by +11.5497 (+8.38%).

2018 Avg (September) 149.4056
2017 Avg (September) 137.8559

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 130.2645 126.1764 127.8088
February 133.7310 129.0999 130.8939
March 131.7548 129.8355 131.1465
April 136.0941 131.2506 133.3065
May 135.3047 132.0570 133.9563
June 139.2448 134.2191 137.1735
July 141.8505 139.2584 140.6988
August 148.7470 142.2004 144.8961
September 154.2129 144.9498 149.4056
October 152.0354 147.7232 150.2047
November 153.3017 137.9473 146.7180
December 143.4688 138.7910 139.7478