2016 GEL to LRD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

42.6125 LRD

YEARLY LOW

33.2154 LRD

YEARLY AVERAGE

37.9049 LRD

2016 GEL to LRD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to LRD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 7, valuing the pair at 42.6125. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 33.2154.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 9.3970 LRD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 35.1319 to the December average rate of 34.6741, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.30% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 42.6125 was down 17.79% compared to the 2015 peak of 51.8319, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 213,062 LRD

2015 Average 197,494 LRD

Yearly Trough Low 166,077 LRD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 46,985.10 LRD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

42.2451

33.3007

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to LRD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 37.7787, compared to 38.0312 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2524 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 37.7787

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 38.0312

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 4.2396 LRD (High: 42.6125 / Low: 38.3729). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.7495 LRD (High: 39.1171 / Low: 38.3675).

June Spread (Volatile) ±4.2396

July Spread (Stable) ±0.7495

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 2.7263 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -2.7263

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 41.3108) against the same month in 2015 (average: 37.4719), the exchange rate shifted by +3.8389 (+10.24%).

2016 Avg (June) 41.3108

2015 Avg (June) 37.4719

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	36.8460	34.0874	35.1319
February	34.3563	33.5979	34.0461
March	37.0143	34.2780	35.6771
April	40.6513	36.8116	39.0067
May	42.2871	40.6495	41.4998
June	42.6125	38.3729	41.3108
July	39.1171	38.3675	38.5845
August	41.7206	38.3468	39.6246
September	39.9621	39.0622	39.6117
October	39.3566	37.8210	38.8490
November	37.8725	35.6685	36.8430
December	35.7260	33.2154	34.6741