YEARLY HIGH
7.3537 LSL
YEARLY LOW
4.9790 LSL
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.2416 LSL

2016 GEL to LSL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to LSL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 30, valuing the pair at 7.3537. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 4.9790.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.3747 LSL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.6826 to the December average rate of 5.2304, the exchange rate registered a net change of -21.73% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 7.3537 was up 3.91% compared to the 2015 peak of 7.0769, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 36,768 LSL
2015 Average 29,147 LSL
Yearly Trough Low 24,895 LSL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 11,873.57 LSL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

7.2001
5.0514
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to LSL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.6502, compared to 5.8331 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.8171 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.6502
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.8331

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.9955 LSL (High: 7.3192 / Low: 6.3236). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2984 LSL (High: 6.6768 / Low: 6.3784).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.9955
April Spread (Stable) ±0.2984

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.7361 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7361

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 7.0210) against the same month in 2015 (average: 5.1601), the exchange rate shifted by +1.8609 (+36.06%).

2016 Avg (May) 7.0210
2015 Avg (May) 5.1601

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.9496 6.4398 6.6826
February 6.5488 6.1462 6.3636
March 6.7449 6.2001 6.4732
April 6.6768 6.3784 6.4760
May 7.3537 6.3744 7.0210
June 7.3192 6.3236 6.8848
July 6.3329 5.9156 6.1487
August 6.3271 5.6923 5.9429
September 6.3486 5.8008 6.0986
October 6.0835 5.6782 5.9211
November 5.8125 5.4299 5.6566
December 5.4860 4.9790 5.2304