YEARLY HIGH
6.3350 LSL
YEARLY LOW
4.6531 LSL
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.3230 LSL

2018 GEL to LSL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the GEL to LSL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 5, valuing the pair at 6.3350. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 24, dropping to 4.6531.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.6819 LSL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.7650 to the December average rate of 5.3570, the exchange rate registered a net change of 12.43% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 6.3350 was up 8.88% compared to the 2017 peak of 5.8186, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 31,675 LSL
2017 Average 26,664 LSL
Yearly Trough Low 23,266 LSL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,409.49 LSL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

6.1269
4.6411
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to LSL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.9824, compared to 5.6636 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.6813 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.9824
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.6636

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.7631 LSL (High: 5.9126 / Low: 5.1495). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1323 LSL (High: 4.9099 / Low: 4.7775).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.7631
March Spread (Stable) ±0.1323

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.3563 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3563

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 6.0031) against the same month in 2017 (average: 5.3339), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6692 (+12.55%).

2018 Avg (September) 6.0031
2017 Avg (September) 5.3339

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.8305 4.6531 4.7650
February 4.9673 4.6815 4.8123
March 4.9099 4.7775 4.8459
April 5.0854 4.8664 4.9611
May 5.2129 5.0168 5.1105
June 5.6339 5.1207 5.3996
July 5.6612 5.3517 5.4790
August 5.8988 5.3989 5.6278
September 6.3350 5.7656 6.0031
October 6.0655 5.7825 5.9356
November 5.9126 5.1495 5.5793
December 5.4799 5.1303 5.3570