YEARLY HIGH
22.3222 MKD
YEARLY LOW
19.5199 MKD
YEARLY AVERAGE
20.9984 MKD

2018 GEL to MKD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the GEL to MKD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 13, valuing the pair at 22.3222. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 24, dropping to 19.5199.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.8023 MKD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 19.7366 to the December average rate of 20.3214, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.96% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 22.3222 was down 8.43% compared to the 2017 peak of 24.3769, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 111,611 MKD
2017 Average 109,424 MKD
Yearly Trough Low 97,600 MKD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 14,011.28 MKD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

22.1120
19.5206
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to MKD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 20.6111, compared to 21.3858 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.7747 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 20.6111
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 21.3858

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 2.0548 MKD (High: 22.3222 / Low: 20.2674). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2169 MKD (High: 21.6194 / Low: 21.4025).

November Spread (Volatile) ±2.0548
July Spread (Stable) ±0.2169

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 1.0986 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.0986

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2018: 21.4200) against the same month in 2017 (average: 20.3395), the exchange rate shifted by +1.0805 (+5.31%).

2018 Avg (November) 21.4200
2017 Avg (November) 20.3395

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 20.1088 19.5199 19.7366
February 20.6117 19.8548 20.2826
March 20.5731 20.1750 20.4057
April 20.7988 20.3959 20.5814
May 21.5517 20.7951 21.2277
June 21.7135 21.1676 21.4325
July 21.6194 21.4025 21.5264
August 22.1725 21.2096 21.6322
September 21.7799 21.3032 21.5185
October 22.2230 21.6159 21.8961
November 22.3222 20.2674 21.4200
December 20.4976 20.0431 20.3214