YEARLY HIGH
17.7734 MKD
YEARLY LOW
14.6833 MKD
YEARLY AVERAGE
16.2216 MKD

2021 GEL to MKD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the GEL to MKD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 19, valuing the pair at 17.7734. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 28, dropping to 14.6833.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.0901 MKD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 15.3316 to the December average rate of 17.5954, the exchange rate registered a net change of 14.77% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 17.7734 was down 12.69% compared to the 2020 peak of 20.3559, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 88,867 MKD
2020 Average 87,134 MKD
Yearly Trough Low 73,417 MKD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 15,450.33 MKD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

17.8549
14.7404
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to MKD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 15.4151, compared to 17.0281 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.6130 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 15.4151
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 17.0281

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was June, with a trading range of 0.9947 MKD (High: 16.4584 / Low: 15.4637). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2382 MKD (High: 16.9793 / Low: 16.7412).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.9947
August Spread (Stable) ±0.2382

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.5270 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5270

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2021: 17.5954) against the same month in 2020 (average: 15.3702), the exchange rate shifted by +2.2252 (+14.48%).

2021 Avg (December) 17.5954
2020 Avg (December) 15.3702

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 15.4720 15.0991 15.3316
February 15.5349 15.1718 15.3793
March 15.6242 15.3348 15.5270
April 15.3384 14.6833 15.0000
May 15.4902 14.7121 15.0378
June 16.4584 15.4637 16.2150
July 16.9989 16.3998 16.6871
August 16.9793 16.7412 16.8871
September 17.1070 16.6960 16.8236
October 17.1155 16.7433 16.9482
November 17.6877 16.7835 17.2270
December 17.7734 17.4234 17.5954