2016 GEL to NAD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

7.3537 NAD

YEARLY LOW

4.9790 NAD

YEARLY AVERAGE

6.2408 NAD

2016 GEL to NAD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to NAD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 30, valuing the pair at 7.3537. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 4.9790.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.3747 NAD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.6801 to the December average rate of 5.2305, the exchange rate registered a net change of -21.70% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 7.3537 was up 3.91% compared to the 2015 peak of 7.0769, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 36,768 NAD

2015 Average 29,143 NAD

Yearly Trough Low 24,895 NAD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 11,873.57 NAD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

7.1997

5.0515

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to NAD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.6496, compared to 5.8320 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.8177 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.6496

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.8320

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.9955 NAD (High: 7.3192 / Low: 6.3236). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2984 NAD (High: 6.6768 / Low: 6.3784).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.9955

April Spread (Stable) ±0.2984

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.7327 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7327

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 7.0207) against the same month in 2015 (average: 5.1599), the exchange rate shifted by +1.8607 (+36.06%).

2016 Avg (May) 7.0207

2015 Avg (May) 5.1599

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	6.9437	6.4563	6.6801
February	6.5226	6.1464	6.3627
March	6.7665	6.2077	6.4745
April	6.6768	6.3784	6.4765
May	7.3537	6.3744	7.0207
June	7.3192	6.3236	6.8833
July	6.3369	5.9302	6.1506
August	6.3533	5.6992	5.9400
September	6.3672	5.8087	6.0934
October	6.0820	5.6869	5.9178
November	5.8189	5.4360	5.6594
December	5.4810	4.9790	5.2305