YEARLY HIGH
5.2536 NAD
YEARLY LOW
4.0876 NAD
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.6046 NAD

2021 GEL to NAD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the GEL to NAD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 28, valuing the pair at 5.2536. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 12, dropping to 4.0876.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.1660 NAD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.5661 to the December average rate of 5.1356, the exchange rate registered a net change of 12.47% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 5.2536 was down 12.62% compared to the 2020 peak of 6.0127, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 26,268 NAD
2020 Average 26,499 NAD
Yearly Trough Low 20,438 NAD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,830.22 NAD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

5.2328
4.0668
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to NAD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.3783, compared to 4.8310 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.4527 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.3783
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.8310

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was November, with a trading range of 0.7030 NAD (High: 5.2536 / Low: 4.5506). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1379 NAD (High: 4.2255 / Low: 4.0876).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.7030
May Spread (Stable) ±0.1379

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.2760 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2760

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2021: 4.9341) against the same month in 2020 (average: 4.6865), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2476 (+5.28%).

2021 Avg (November) 4.9341
2020 Avg (November) 4.6865

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.6798 4.4377 4.5661
February 4.5529 4.3579 4.4457
March 4.6727 4.3754 4.4905
April 4.3087 4.1216 4.2145
May 4.2255 4.0876 4.1640
June 4.5359 4.1856 4.3889
July 4.8265 4.5397 4.6578
August 4.9228 4.6250 4.7398
September 4.8650 4.6065 4.7704
October 4.8650 4.5955 4.7481
November 5.2536 4.5506 4.9341
December 5.2375 5.0422 5.1356