2016 GEL to PEN Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.5757 PEN

YEARLY LOW

1.2128 PEN

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.4309 PEN

2016 GEL to PEN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to PEN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 31, valuing the pair at 1.5757. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 1.2128.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3630 PEN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.4103 to the December average rate of 1.2812, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.15% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.5757 was down 10.39% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.7583, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,879 PEN

2015 Average 7,288 PEN

Yearly Trough Low 6,064 PEN

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,814.82 PEN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.5521

1.2566

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to PEN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.4604, compared to 1.4014 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0590 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.4604

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.4014

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.1794 PEN (High: 1.5747 / Low: 1.3953). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0324 PEN (High: 1.4232 / Low: 1.3908).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.1794

January Spread (Stable) ±0.0324

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.1030 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1030

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 1.5274) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.3567), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1708 (+12.59%).

2016 Avg (May) 1.5274

2015 Avg (May) 1.3567

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.4232	1.3908	1.4103
February	1.4329	1.3967	1.4119
March	1.4861	1.4010	1.4341
April	1.4856	1.4492	1.4638
May	1.5757	1.4732	1.5274
June	1.5747	1.3953	1.5146
July	1.4326	1.3962	1.4117
August	1.4726	1.4107	1.4382
September	1.4809	1.4417	1.4631
October	1.4618	1.4084	1.4377
November	1.4060	1.3312	1.3764
December	1.3369	1.2128	1.2812