YEARLY HIGH
1.8493 PLN
YEARLY LOW
1.5114 PLN
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.6714 PLN

2016 GEL to PLN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to PLN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 24, valuing the pair at 1.8493. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 1.5114.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3379 PLN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.6631 to the December average rate of 1.5869, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.58% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.8493 was down 17.43% compared to the 2015 peak of 2.2397, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,247 PLN
2015 Average 8,650 PLN
Yearly Trough Low 7,557 PLN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,689.52 PLN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.8095
1.5667
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to PLN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.6899, compared to 1.6528 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0371 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.6899
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.6528

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.1589 PLN (High: 1.8479 / Low: 1.6890). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0504 PLN (High: 1.6872 / Low: 1.6368).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.1589
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0504

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0881 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0881

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 1.7893) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.5766), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2127 (+13.49%).

2016 Avg (May) 1.7893
2015 Avg (May) 1.5766

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.6937 1.6379 1.6631
February 1.6362 1.5660 1.5944
March 1.6557 1.5931 1.6224
April 1.7523 1.6225 1.6856
May 1.8493 1.7087 1.7893
June 1.8479 1.6890 1.7848
July 1.7227 1.6578 1.6967
August 1.7009 1.6296 1.6570
September 1.7096 1.6378 1.6698
October 1.6872 1.6368 1.6582
November 1.6902 1.6011 1.6482
December 1.6572 1.5114 1.5869