YEARLY HIGH
3.6731 SBD
YEARLY LOW
2.8002 SBD
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.3564 SBD

2016 GEL to SBD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to SBD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 7, valuing the pair at 3.6731. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 2.8002.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8729 SBD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.3427 to the December average rate of 2.9766, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.95% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 3.6731 was down 17.37% compared to the 2015 peak of 4.4452, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 18,366 SBD
2015 Average 18,021 SBD
Yearly Trough Low 14,001 SBD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,364.55 SBD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

3.6359
2.9167
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to SBD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.4379, compared to 3.2750 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1630 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.4379
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.2750

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.3654 SBD (High: 3.6731 / Low: 3.3077). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0681 SBD (High: 3.4151 / Low: 3.3470).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.3654
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0681

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.2238 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2238

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 3.5629) against the same month in 2015 (average: 3.4826), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0803 (+2.31%).

2016 Avg (June) 3.5629
2015 Avg (June) 3.4826

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.3933 3.2808 3.3427
February 3.3042 3.2360 3.2725
March 3.4605 3.2655 3.3582
April 3.5866 3.4291 3.5153
May 3.6443 3.4869 3.5760
June 3.6731 3.3077 3.5629
July 3.4151 3.3470 3.3714
August 3.4417 3.3199 3.3769
September 3.4277 3.3436 3.3940
October 3.3643 3.2906 3.3305
November 3.2826 3.1430 3.2004
December 3.1231 2.8002 2.9766