YEARLY HIGH
3.0976 SBD
YEARLY LOW
2.7492 SBD
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.9168 SBD

2019 GEL to SBD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the GEL to SBD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 15, valuing the pair at 3.0976. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 31, dropping to 2.7492.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3484 SBD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.0449 to the December average rate of 2.8654, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.90% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 3.0976 was down 5.58% compared to the 2018 peak of 3.2805, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 15,488 SBD
2018 Average 15,860 SBD
Yearly Trough Low 13,746 SBD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,742.18 SBD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

3.0861
2.7562
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to SBD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.0176, compared to 2.8161 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2014 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.0176
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.8161

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was July, with a trading range of 0.1940 SBD (High: 2.9431 / Low: 2.7492). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0397 SBD (High: 2.8080 / Low: 2.7683).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.1940
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0397

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0933 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0933

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2019: 3.0586) against the same month in 2018 (average: 3.1532), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0945 (-3.00%).

2019 Avg (February) 3.0586
2018 Avg (February) 3.1532

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.0914 3.0031 3.0449
February 3.0976 3.0171 3.0586
March 3.0605 2.9890 3.0309
April 3.0569 2.9754 3.0255
May 3.0411 2.8897 2.9760
June 3.0301 2.8817 2.9695
July 2.9431 2.7492 2.8762
August 2.8310 2.7689 2.7922
September 2.8171 2.7589 2.7837
October 2.8080 2.7683 2.7914
November 2.8165 2.7547 2.7879
December 2.9085 2.7839 2.8654