YEARLY HIGH
285.7151 SOS
YEARLY LOW
203.0668 SOS
YEARLY AVERAGE
251.9125 SOS

2016 GEL to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 23, valuing the pair at 285.7151. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 24, dropping to 203.0668.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 82.6483 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 254.0928 to the December average rate of 216.1098, the exchange rate registered a net change of -14.95% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 285.7151 was down 30.44% compared to the 2015 peak of 410.7506, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,428,576 SOS
2015 Average 1,554,654 SOS
Yearly Trough Low 1,015,334 SOS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 413,241.68 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

283.0909
210.0206
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 262.4561, compared to 241.3689 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 21.0872 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 262.4561
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 241.3689

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 31.6843 SOS (High: 280.2308 / Low: 248.5465). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.9017 SOS (High: 248.5141 / Low: 244.6125).

June Spread (Volatile) ±31.6843
February Spread (Stable) ±3.9017

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 19.6175 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -19.6175

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 277.0018) against the same month in 2015 (average: 301.6238), the exchange rate shifted by -24.6221 (-8.16%).

2016 Avg (May) 277.0018
2015 Avg (May) 301.6238

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 259.5908 246.8144 254.0928
February 248.5141 244.6125 246.8438
March 268.8316 247.0343 257.9999
April 274.2356 265.1047 270.3684
May 285.7151 272.5939 277.0018
June 280.2308 248.5465 268.4300
July 253.9888 244.4519 248.8125
August 257.1872 246.0743 251.3394
September 255.1562 249.3727 252.6228
October 251.6024 240.3189 246.9261
November 239.4175 220.6181 232.4028
December 226.5636 203.0668 216.1098