YEARLY HIGH
3.8595 TJS
YEARLY LOW
3.3977 TJS
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.6831 TJS

2018 GEL to TJS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the GEL to TJS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 31, valuing the pair at 3.8595. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 1, dropping to 3.3977.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4618 TJS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.4486 to the December average rate of 3.5391, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.62% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 3.8595 was up 3.20% compared to the 2017 peak of 3.7399, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 19,298 TJS
2017 Average 17,242 TJS
Yearly Trough Low 16,989 TJS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,309.10 TJS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

3.8878
3.4086
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to TJS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.6052, compared to 3.7610 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1558 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.6052
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.7610

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.3201 TJS (High: 3.8528 / Low: 3.5327). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0257 TJS (High: 3.8595 / Low: 3.8338).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.3201
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0257

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 9 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.1884 points.

Longest Streak 9 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1884

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 3.8479) against the same month in 2017 (average: 3.5385), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3093 (+8.74%).

2018 Avg (October) 3.8479
2017 Avg (October) 3.5385

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.5763 3.3977 3.4486
February 3.6135 3.5584 3.5873
March 3.6247 3.5765 3.6050
April 3.6502 3.6007 3.6320
May 3.6907 3.6252 3.6575
June 3.7425 3.6475 3.7008
July 3.8521 3.7420 3.7998
August 3.8507 3.7857 3.8153
September 3.8560 3.7879 3.8366
October 3.8595 3.8338 3.8479
November 3.8528 3.5327 3.7275
December 3.5594 3.5163 3.5391