YEARLY HIGH
3.5810 TJS
YEARLY LOW
3.1771 TJS
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.3880 TJS

2019 GEL to TJS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the GEL to TJS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 18, valuing the pair at 3.5810. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 31, dropping to 3.1771.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4039 TJS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.5415 to the December average rate of 3.3502, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.40% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 3.5810 was down 7.22% compared to the 2018 peak of 3.8595, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 17,905 TJS
2018 Average 18,417 TJS
Yearly Trough Low 15,886 TJS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,019.49 TJS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

3.5875
3.2215
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to TJS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.4920, compared to 3.2839 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2081 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.4920
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.2839

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was July, with a trading range of 0.1986 TJS (High: 3.3758 / Low: 3.1771). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0329 TJS (High: 3.5151 / Low: 3.4821).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.1986
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0329

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.1127 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1127

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2019: 3.5570) against the same month in 2018 (average: 3.5873), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0303 (-0.85%).

2019 Avg (February) 3.5570
2018 Avg (February) 3.5873

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.5646 3.5062 3.5415
February 3.5810 3.5067 3.5570
March 3.5479 3.4994 3.5173
April 3.5151 3.4821 3.5010
May 3.4891 3.3627 3.4297
June 3.4689 3.2994 3.4057
July 3.3758 3.1771 3.2930
August 3.3146 3.1973 3.2520
September 3.2965 3.2435 3.2724
October 3.2922 3.2365 3.2701
November 3.2825 3.2435 3.2659
December 3.3954 3.2617 3.3502