YEARLY HIGH
0.4709 USD
YEARLY LOW
0.3572 USD
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.4243 USD

2016 GEL to USD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to USD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 7, valuing the pair at 0.4709. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 0.3572.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1137 USD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4105 to the December average rate of 0.3772, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.13% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.4709 was down 16.86% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.5664, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,355 USD
2015 Average 2,297 USD
Yearly Trough Low 1,786 USD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 568.63 USD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.4667
0.3690
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to USD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4322, compared to 0.4164 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0158 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4322
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4164

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.0469 USD (High: 0.4709 / Low: 0.4241). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0055 USD (High: 0.4058 / Low: 0.4003).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0469
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0055

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0293 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0293

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 0.4565) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.4429), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0136 (+3.07%).

2016 Avg (June) 0.4565
2015 Avg (June) 0.4429

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.4169 0.4018 0.4105
February 0.4058 0.4003 0.4028
March 0.4372 0.4049 0.4214
April 0.4491 0.4348 0.4433
May 0.4673 0.4491 0.4586
June 0.4709 0.4241 0.4565
July 0.4322 0.4251 0.4273
August 0.4403 0.4249 0.4316
September 0.4371 0.4281 0.4330
October 0.4292 0.4191 0.4247
November 0.4179 0.3930 0.4047
December 0.3916 0.3572 0.3772