YEARLY HIGH
0.3795 USD
YEARLY LOW
0.3344 USD
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.3558 USD

2019 GEL to USD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the GEL to USD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 15, valuing the pair at 0.3795. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 21, dropping to 0.3344.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0451 USD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3755 to the December average rate of 0.3459, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.89% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.3795 was down 8.20% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.4134, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,898 USD
2018 Average 2,013 USD
Yearly Trough Low 1,672 USD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 225.29 USD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.3810
0.3330
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to USD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3702, compared to 0.3415 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0287 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3702
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3415

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was July, with a trading range of 0.0211 USD (High: 0.3578 / Low: 0.3367). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0028 USD (High: 0.3724 / Low: 0.3697).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0211
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0028

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0120 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0120

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2019: 0.3770) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.4066), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0296 (-7.27%).

2019 Avg (February) 0.3770
2018 Avg (February) 0.4066

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.3766 0.3731 0.3755
February 0.3795 0.3717 0.3770
March 0.3759 0.3711 0.3729
April 0.3724 0.3697 0.3711
May 0.3697 0.3565 0.3636
June 0.3676 0.3497 0.3610
July 0.3578 0.3367 0.3490
August 0.3442 0.3390 0.3415
September 0.3401 0.3356 0.3378
October 0.3396 0.3350 0.3375
November 0.3387 0.3344 0.3370
December 0.3503 0.3367 0.3459