2016 GEL to UZS Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1384.1343 UZS

YEARLY LOW

1133.2617 UZS

YEARLY AVERAGE

1257.4790 UZS

2016 GEL to UZS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to UZS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 7, valuing the pair at 1384.1343. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 25, dropping to 1133.2617.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 250.8726 UZS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1156.0181 to the December average rate of 1205.2002, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.25% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1384.1343 was down 1.18% compared to the 2015 peak of 1400.7137, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,920,672 UZS

2015 Average 5,876,507 UZS

Yearly Trough Low 5,666,308 UZS

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,254,363.23 UZS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1363.9799

1126.2358

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to UZS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1245.5567, compared to 1269.4013 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 23.8446 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1245.5567

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1269.4013

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 130.9624 UZS (High: 1384.1343 / Low: 1253.1719). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 15.8749 UZS (High: 1273.8785 / Low: 1258.0035).

June Spread (Volatile) ±130.9624

July Spread (Stable) ±15.8749

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 80.0322 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -80.0322

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 1344.1679) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1126.0227), the exchange rate shifted by +218.1452 (+19.37%).

2016 Avg (June) 1344.1679

2015 Avg (June) 1126.0227

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1171.9726	1133.2617	1156.0181
February	1156.7871	1136.4311	1146.0478
March	1251.7519	1155.7533	1205.6219
April	1304.6236	1249.4881	1282.7789
May	1371.2265	1303.5925	1338.7053
June	1384.1343	1253.1719	1344.1679
July	1273.8785	1258.0035	1264.1357
August	1313.5937	1261.5790	1286.6555
September	1306.4303	1282.4599	1295.0739
October	1305.5958	1284.5462	1296.0883
November	1298.8817	1246.1384	1269.2540
December	1246.0065	1138.3116	1205.2002