YEARLY HIGH
3386.8140 UZS
YEARLY LOW
3101.1023 UZS
YEARLY AVERAGE
3250.2975 UZS

2018 GEL to UZS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the GEL to UZS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 14, valuing the pair at 3386.8140. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 29, dropping to 3101.1023.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 285.7117 UZS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3184.8867 to the December average rate of 3125.5949, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.86% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 3386.8140 was up 1.99% compared to the 2017 peak of 3320.6545, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 16,934,070 UZS
2017 Average 10,218,737 UZS
Yearly Trough Low 15,505,512 UZS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,428,558.37 UZS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

3369.8968
3103.3857
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to UZS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3278.9070, compared to 3221.6880 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 57.2190 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3278.9070
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3221.6880

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 285.7117 UZS (High: 3386.8140 / Low: 3101.1023). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 25.1691 UZS (High: 3345.3475 / Low: 3320.1784).

November Spread (Volatile) ±285.7117
March Spread (Stable) ±25.1691

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 144.4524 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -144.4524

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2018: 3270.0473) against the same month in 2017 (average: 3132.4951), the exchange rate shifted by +137.5522 (+4.39%).

2018 Avg (November) 3270.0473
2017 Avg (November) 3132.4951

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3311.4524 3125.9465 3184.8867
February 3358.9619 3298.8126 3331.0628
March 3345.3475 3320.1784 3334.5715
April 3352.5876 3270.6031 3319.1919
May 3300.5576 3232.6043 3274.7738
June 3253.8243 3210.7150 3228.9555
July 3218.1615 3179.6395 3192.7279
August 3186.5453 3136.1471 3160.5068
September 3311.8239 3152.4146 3233.5634
October 3373.7602 3299.6106 3347.6875
November 3386.8140 3101.1023 3270.0473
December 3139.5397 3110.4372 3125.5949