2016 GEL to XCD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.2729 XCD

YEARLY LOW

0.9653 XCD

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.1461 XCD

2016 GEL to XCD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to XCD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 7, valuing the pair at 1.2729. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 0.9653.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3076 XCD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.1088 to the December average rate of 1.0189, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.11% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.2729 was down 16.82% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.5303, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,364 XCD

2015 Average 6,204 XCD

Yearly Trough Low 4,826 XCD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,537.87 XCD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.2615

0.9969

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to XCD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.1678, compared to 1.1244 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0434 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.1678

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.1244

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.1266 XCD (High: 1.2729 / Low: 1.1462). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0148 XCD (High: 1.0960 / Low: 1.0812).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.1266

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0148

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0796 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0796

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 1.2340) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.1964), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0376 (+3.14%).

2016 Avg (June) 1.2340

2015 Avg (June) 1.1964

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.1260	1.0854	1.1088
February	1.0960	1.0812	1.0880
March	1.1808	1.0935	1.1382
April	1.2140	1.1743	1.1980
May	1.2631	1.2140	1.2395
June	1.2729	1.1462	1.2340
July	1.1682	1.1474	1.1544
August	1.1884	1.1468	1.1649
September	1.1798	1.1554	1.1687
October	1.1585	1.1311	1.1467
November	1.1279	1.0624	1.0925
December	1.0568	0.9653	1.0189