YEARLY HIGH
7.3582 ZAR
YEARLY LOW
4.9939 ZAR
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.2417 ZAR

2016 GEL to ZAR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to ZAR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 30, valuing the pair at 7.3582. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 4.9939.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.3643 ZAR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.6838 to the December average rate of 5.2284, the exchange rate registered a net change of -21.77% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 7.3582 was up 4.11% compared to the 2015 peak of 7.0676, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 36,791 ZAR
2015 Average 29,143 ZAR
Yearly Trough Low 24,969 ZAR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 11,821.37 ZAR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

7.2004
5.0491
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to ZAR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.6504, compared to 5.8330 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.8174 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.6504
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.8330

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 1.0118 ZAR (High: 7.3210 / Low: 6.3092). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2936 ZAR (High: 6.6768 / Low: 6.3832).

June Spread (Volatile) ±1.0118
April Spread (Stable) ±0.2936

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.7324 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7324

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 7.0212) against the same month in 2015 (average: 5.1599), the exchange rate shifted by +1.8612 (+36.07%).

2016 Avg (May) 7.0212
2015 Avg (May) 5.1599

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.9516 6.4383 6.6838
February 6.5491 6.1418 6.3652
March 6.7593 6.1984 6.4714
April 6.6768 6.3832 6.4759
May 7.3582 6.3785 7.0212
June 7.3210 6.3092 6.8848
July 6.3395 5.9096 6.1524
August 6.3770 5.6965 5.9446
September 6.3562 5.7936 6.0997
October 6.0833 5.6801 5.9158
November 5.8080 5.4144 5.6569
December 5.4981 4.9939 5.2284