YEARLY HIGH
6.2998 ZAR
YEARLY LOW
4.6700 ZAR
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.3294 ZAR

2018 GEL to ZAR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the GEL to ZAR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 5, valuing the pair at 6.2998. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 24, dropping to 4.6700.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.6299 ZAR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.7660 to the December average rate of 5.3674, the exchange rate registered a net change of 12.62% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 6.2998 was up 8.66% compared to the 2017 peak of 5.7976, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 31,499 ZAR
2017 Average 26,657 ZAR
Yearly Trough Low 23,350 ZAR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,149.31 ZAR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

6.1226
4.6426
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to ZAR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.9838, compared to 5.6751 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.6913 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.9838
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.6751

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.7713 ZAR (High: 5.9122 / Low: 5.1409). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1459 ZAR (High: 4.9184 / Low: 4.7725).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.7713
March Spread (Stable) ±0.1459

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.3618 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3618

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 5.9993) against the same month in 2017 (average: 5.3368), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6625 (+12.41%).

2018 Avg (September) 5.9993
2017 Avg (September) 5.3368

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.8233 4.6700 4.7660
February 4.9591 4.6823 4.8063
March 4.9184 4.7725 4.8407
April 5.0776 4.8721 4.9641
May 5.2236 5.0081 5.1076
June 5.6546 5.1191 5.4181
July 5.6566 5.3537 5.4697
August 5.9313 5.4019 5.6942
September 6.2998 5.7689 5.9993
October 6.0672 5.7695 5.9409
November 5.9122 5.1409 5.5791
December 5.5002 5.1458 5.3674