YEARLY HIGH
0.6609 GEL
YEARLY LOW
0.5443 GEL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.5986 GEL

2016 GHS to GEL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GHS to GEL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 21, valuing the pair at 0.6609. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 12, dropping to 0.5443.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1166 GEL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6260 to the December average rate of 0.6263, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.05% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.6609 was down 4.50% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.6920, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GHS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,304 GEL
2015 Average 2,919 GEL
Yearly Trough Low 2,722 GEL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 582.84 GEL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.6327
0.5564
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GHS to GEL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5981, compared to 0.5992 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0012 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5981
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5992

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was December, with a trading range of 0.0679 GEL (High: 0.6609 / Low: 0.5930). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0098 GEL (High: 0.5965 / Low: 0.5867).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0679
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0098

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0267 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0267

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 0.6263) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.6291), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0028 (-0.45%).

2016 Avg (December) 0.6263
2015 Avg (December) 0.6291

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.6331 0.6157 0.6260
February 0.6337 0.6133 0.6259
March 0.6397 0.5935 0.6157
April 0.5983 0.5819 0.5890
May 0.5867 0.5541 0.5689
June 0.6008 0.5443 0.5628
July 0.5965 0.5867 0.5929
August 0.5962 0.5756 0.5878
September 0.5900 0.5783 0.5833
October 0.5986 0.5861 0.5928
November 0.6256 0.5887 0.6122
December 0.6609 0.5930 0.6263