YEARLY HIGH
5.3396 MDL
YEARLY LOW
4.6546 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.0402 MDL

2016 GHS to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GHS to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 13, valuing the pair at 5.3396. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 4.6546.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6850 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.2229 to the December average rate of 4.7490, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.07% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 5.3396 was down 8.50% compared to the 2015 peak of 5.8358, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GHS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 26,698 MDL
2015 Average 24,921 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 23,273 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,424.85 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

5.2703
4.7016
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GHS to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.1289, compared to 4.9516 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1774 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.1289
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.9516

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.3774 MDL (High: 5.0625 / Low: 4.6851). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0573 MDL (High: 5.0073 / Low: 4.9500).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.3774
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0573

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.2191 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2191

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 5.2229) against the same month in 2015 (average: 5.1065), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1164 (+2.28%).

2016 Avg (January) 5.2229
2015 Avg (January) 5.1065

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.3396 5.1416 5.2229
February 5.1480 4.9943 5.0605
March 5.1841 5.0796 5.1242
April 5.1945 5.0555 5.1279
May 5.2014 5.1030 5.1645
June 5.1824 4.9971 5.0737
July 5.0360 4.9756 5.0078
August 5.0410 4.9573 5.0008
September 5.0073 4.9500 4.9842
October 5.0552 4.9457 4.9994
November 5.0625 4.6851 4.9681
December 4.8771 4.6546 4.7490