2013 GMD to BGN Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0467 BGN

YEARLY LOW

0.0374 BGN

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0437 BGN

2013 GMD to BGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the GMD to BGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 10, valuing the pair at 0.0467. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 13, dropping to 0.0374.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0094 BGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0441 to the December average rate of 0.0377, the exchange rate registered a net change of -14.47% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 0.0467 was down 11.50% compared to the 2012 peak of 0.0528, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 234 BGN

2012 Average 245 BGN

Yearly Trough Low 187 BGN

Transaction Impact: A difference of 46.86 BGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

0.0463

0.0369

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to BGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0442, compared to 0.0431 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0010 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0442

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0431

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was November, with a trading range of 0.0067 BGN (High: 0.0447 / Low: 0.0380). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0010 BGN (High: 0.0445 / Low: 0.0435).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0067

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0010

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0045 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0045

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2013: 0.0455) against the same month in 2012 (average: 0.0506), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0051 (-10.17%).

2013 Avg (July) 0.0455

2012 Avg (July) 0.0506

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0456	0.0425	0.0441
February	0.0449	0.0422	0.0439
March	0.0463	0.0445	0.0454
April	0.0463	0.0447	0.0454
May	0.0461	0.0429	0.0451
June	0.0445	0.0400	0.0412
July	0.0467	0.0419	0.0455
August	0.0454	0.0417	0.0447
September	0.0457	0.0440	0.0449
October	0.0445	0.0435	0.0439
November	0.0447	0.0380	0.0422
December	0.0385	0.0374	0.0377