YEARLY HIGH
9.7191 KZT
YEARLY LOW
7.6540 KZT
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.1598 KZT

2016 GMD to KZT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GMD to KZT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 21, valuing the pair at 9.7191. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 2, dropping to 7.6540.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.0651 KZT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 9.1740 to the December average rate of 7.8097, the exchange rate registered a net change of -14.87% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 9.7191 was up 11.56% compared to the 2015 peak of 8.7117, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 48,595 KZT
2015 Average 27,221 KZT
Yearly Trough Low 38,270 KZT
Transaction Impact: A difference of 10,325.37 KZT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

9.3140
7.6337
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to KZT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.3886, compared to 7.9311 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.4575 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.3886
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.9311

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 1.0832 KZT (High: 9.7191 / Low: 8.6359). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1550 KZT (High: 7.8879 / Low: 7.7328).

January Spread (Volatile) ±1.0832
October Spread (Stable) ±0.1550

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.6105 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6105

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 9.1740) against the same month in 2015 (average: 4.2806), the exchange rate shifted by +4.8934 (+114.31%).

2016 Avg (January) 9.1740
2015 Avg (January) 4.2806

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 9.7191 8.6359 9.1740
February 9.4498 8.8375 9.0803
March 8.8968 8.0259 8.5117
April 8.0944 7.6837 7.9012
May 7.8994 7.6540 7.7737
June 7.9734 7.7446 7.8905
July 8.2877 7.8890 8.0072
August 8.3199 7.9406 8.0654
September 8.0783 7.8685 7.9549
October 7.8879 7.7328 7.7885
November 8.1044 7.8468 7.9609
December 7.9027 7.7438 7.8097