YEARLY HIGH
7.9222 KZT
YEARLY LOW
6.5774 KZT
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.1692 KZT

2018 GMD to KZT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the GMD to KZT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 10, valuing the pair at 7.9222. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 25, dropping to 6.5774.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.3449 KZT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.8118 to the December average rate of 7.5218, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.42% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 7.9222 was up 1.00% compared to the 2017 peak of 7.8437, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 39,611 KZT
2017 Average 35,612 KZT
Yearly Trough Low 32,887 KZT
Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,724.36 KZT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

7.6407
6.7046
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to KZT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.8968, compared to 7.4415 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.5447 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.8968
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.4415

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was September, with a trading range of 0.6550 KZT (High: 7.9222 / Low: 7.2673). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0944 KZT (High: 7.0115 / Low: 6.9171).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.6550
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0944

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.1316 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1316

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 7.5627) against the same month in 2017 (average: 7.3822), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1804 (+2.44%).

2018 Avg (September) 7.5627
2017 Avg (September) 7.3822

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.9987 6.5774 6.8118
February 6.9360 6.6795 6.8007
March 6.8357 6.7294 6.7826
April 6.9838 6.7320 6.8824
May 7.0115 6.9171 6.9692
June 7.2401 7.0209 7.1342
July 7.3053 7.1556 7.2192
August 7.5763 7.2467 7.4336
September 7.9222 7.2673 7.5627
October 7.5198 7.3363 7.4311
November 7.5623 7.3865 7.4807
December 7.7759 7.4556 7.5218