2013 GMD to RSD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.7243 RSD

YEARLY LOW

2.1918 RSD

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.5211 RSD

2013 GMD to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the GMD to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 10, valuing the pair at 2.7243. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 12, dropping to 2.1918.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5325 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.5197 to the December average rate of 2.2080, the exchange rate registered a net change of -12.37% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 2.7243 was down 13.13% compared to the 2012 peak of 3.1360, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 13,622 RSD

2012 Average 14,140 RSD

Yearly Trough Low 10,959 RSD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,662.68 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

2.6896

2.1642

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.5241, compared to 2.5181 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0061 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.5241

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.5181

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was November, with a trading range of 0.3901 RSD (High: 2.6052 / Low: 2.2150). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0520 RSD (High: 2.2438 / Low: 2.1918).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.3901

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0520

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2013. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.2507 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2507

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2013: 2.6459) against the same month in 2012 (average: 3.0137), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3679 (-12.21%).

2013 Avg (July) 2.6459

2012 Avg (July) 3.0137

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.6174	2.4219	2.5197
February	2.5520	2.3897	2.4981
March	2.6518	2.5464	2.5893
April	2.6437	2.5552	2.5848
May	2.6091	2.4315	2.5561
June	2.5625	2.3323	2.3968
July	2.7243	2.4402	2.6459
August	2.6387	2.4327	2.6051
September	2.6824	2.5779	2.6309
October	2.5902	2.5291	2.5599
November	2.6052	2.2150	2.4588
December	2.2438	2.1918	2.2080