YEARLY HIGH
1.8421 RSD
YEARLY LOW
1.5655 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.7434 RSD

2023 GMD to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the GMD to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 6, valuing the pair at 1.8421. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 27, dropping to 1.5655.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2765 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.7544 to the December average rate of 1.5936, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.16% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 1.8421 was down 16.71% compared to the 2022 peak of 2.2116, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,210 RSD
2022 Average 10,101 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 7,828 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,382.72 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

1.8402
1.5712
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.7808, compared to 1.7060 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0748 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.7808
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.7060

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was September, with a trading range of 0.1191 RSD (High: 1.8229 / Low: 1.7038). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0224 RSD (High: 1.7857 / Low: 1.7633).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.1191
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0224

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0867 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0867

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2023: 1.8178) against the same month in 2022 (average: 2.0546), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2368 (-11.53%).

2023 Avg (June) 1.8178
2022 Avg (June) 2.0546

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.7961 1.7276 1.7544
February 1.8208 1.7306 1.7945
March 1.8165 1.7305 1.7836
April 1.7758 1.7020 1.7287
May 1.8406 1.7583 1.8056
June 1.8421 1.7938 1.8178
July 1.8137 1.7485 1.7776
August 1.7857 1.7633 1.7744
September 1.8229 1.7038 1.7783
October 1.7216 1.6733 1.6915
November 1.7017 1.5837 1.6203
December 1.6166 1.5655 1.5936