2016 GMD to TJS Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.2009 TJS

YEARLY LOW

0.1774 TJS

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1866 TJS

2016 GMD to TJS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GMD to TJS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 23, valuing the pair at 0.2009. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 1, dropping to 0.1774.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0235 TJS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1869 to the December average rate of 0.1839, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.59% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.2009 was up 13.27% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.1774, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,005 TJS

2015 Average 750 TJS

Yearly Trough Low 887 TJS

Transaction Impact: A difference of 117.69 TJS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.2006

0.1824

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to TJS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1888, compared to 0.1844 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0044 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1888

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1844

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.0207 TJS (High: 0.1981 / Low: 0.1774). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0011 TJS (High: 0.1848 / Low: 0.1836).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0207

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0011

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0095 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0095

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 0.1991) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.1254), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0737 (+58.77%).

2016 Avg (February) 0.1991

2015 Avg (February) 0.1254

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1981	0.1774	0.1869
February	0.2009	0.1982	0.1991
March	0.2008	0.1837	0.1940
April	0.1856	0.1837	0.1845
May	0.1848	0.1836	0.1841
June	0.1859	0.1836	0.1844
July	0.1852	0.1838	0.1843
August	0.1852	0.1833	0.1844
September	0.1856	0.1841	0.1848
October	0.1853	0.1839	0.1845
November	0.1856	0.1832	0.1844
December	0.1856	0.1821	0.1839