YEARLY HIGH
0.1974 TJS
YEARLY LOW
0.1811 TJS
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1902 TJS

2018 GMD to TJS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the GMD to TJS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 28, valuing the pair at 0.1974. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 23, dropping to 0.1811.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0163 TJS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1838 to the December average rate of 0.1905, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.66% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.1974 was down 0.03% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.1975, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 987 TJS
2017 Average 938 TJS
Yearly Trough Low 905 TJS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 81.62 TJS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.1969
0.1826
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to TJS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1878, compared to 0.1926 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0048 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1878
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1926

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.0056 TJS (High: 0.1974 / Low: 0.1918). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0011 TJS (High: 0.1964 / Low: 0.1952).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0056
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0011

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0038 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0038

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2018: 0.1950) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.1909), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0040 (+2.10%).

2018 Avg (July) 0.1950
2017 Avg (July) 0.1909

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1863 0.1811 0.1838
February 0.1873 0.1841 0.1864
March 0.1869 0.1852 0.1864
April 0.1888 0.1858 0.1875
May 0.1909 0.1889 0.1903
June 0.1944 0.1906 0.1925
July 0.1974 0.1918 0.1950
August 0.1964 0.1952 0.1957
September 0.1964 0.1912 0.1942
October 0.1914 0.1895 0.1904
November 0.1906 0.1884 0.1901
December 0.1912 0.1899 0.1905